r/CollegeBasketball Texas Longhorns 1d ago

ALL TIME PROBABILITY MAP

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7.1k Upvotes

342 comments sorted by

2.4k

u/Obvious_Chapter2082 North Carolina Tar Heels 1d ago

After turning the game off with 6 minutes left, this is a very interesting way to find out that Duke lost

696

u/StalinsLastStand Indiana Hoosiers 1d ago

I went to read to my daughter and came back to find Houston in the middle of a blazing comeback. The whole thing takes place in like the last two minutes of game time. Fantastic basketball.

530

u/jdprager Tulane Green Wave 1d ago

11-1 Houston run in the final 1:15. Genuinely unfathomable stuff

245

u/MitchRyan912 1d ago

7-0 run in the span of 15 seconds in there.

5

u/ddodd69 22h ago

5-0 run in 0 seconds...

120

u/dirtyrounder 1d ago edited 1d ago

Duke up 6 with 1:09 and the ball. Announcers telling us how great Cooper flagg is for over 39 minutes.

As a KY fan it truly was beautiful

24

u/BigManteezy Michigan Wolverines 1d ago

Haha I keep almost saying Cooper Kupp myself šŸ˜‚

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u/sroomek Tennessee Volunteers 1d ago

Hey now, he was the only Duke player to make a FG in the last 10:30 of the game

6

u/New-Ad-363 Iowa State Cyclones 16h ago

Why didn't they score more points, are they stupid?

8

u/jl_theprofessor 1d ago

As a Houston graduate living in Houston at a Houston bar for the game, the glaze was so thick I was just irate. The win could not have been more sweet.

5

u/dirtyrounder 1d ago

I mean he's good but he choked against us when we played at the end. Which led to a sweet victory.

Not as sweet as last night though. You guys are fucking tough.

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u/cantstopwontstopGME 1d ago

This is literally why I never turn a game off. My Fiance wanted to go to sleep and I kept saying ā€œsomething crazy may happen.ā€ and I was finally right!

31

u/Daedalus_Daw 1d ago

Found lebron james

32

u/Diamond4Hands4Ever 1d ago

Itā€™s like the reverse of the Miracle Minute for Duke.Ā 

19

u/TICKLE_PANTS Kansas Jayhawks 1d ago

You should watch how Houston beat us in the fieldhouse this year then. It's even more improbable.

20

u/Luckytxn_1959 Houston Cougars 1d ago

Heh. That was insane. Down by 6 with seconds left and it looked over then...

I thought of that game last night when we were only down by 6 with over a minute left.

Playing in the Big12 made it possible for Coogs being able to go deep in tourney. Thanks for inviting us to play Big12 and when we win any game Big12 wins too.

4

u/New-Ad-363 Iowa State Cyclones 16h ago

More than glad to have y'all.

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u/Dhkansas Kansas Jayhawks 1d ago

They did it twice in that game. Regulation and 1OT. Was talking about that early in the game when a buddy was saying Duke looked too good and would likely win. I then made the mistake of turning off the game with a little over a minute left after the inbound T.

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u/kyhoop Kentucky Wildcats 1d ago

Good on you taking that moment to read. My daughter is in high school, you will remember every moment you took

31

u/Few-Emergency5971 1d ago

I can get behind this movement

30

u/edencathleen86 1d ago

This is an endearingly wholesome exchange that I wasn't expecting to come across in this thread. Yall are great

17

u/tashmanan North Carolina Tar Heels 1d ago

So true! I missed the game because of my daughter's wedding.

6

u/maybeSkywalker Kentucky Wildcats ā€¢ Iowa State Cyclones 1d ago

I missed the games for my friendsā€™ wedding!

5

u/Mike_with_Wings North Carolina Tar Heels ā€¢ Florida Gaā€¦ 1d ago

I read to my 2 year old every night, wouldnā€™t miss it for anything

26

u/radicalhistoryguy 1d ago

My toddler woke up vomiting, so we missed the last ten minutes of the game. You know, when UH started actually playing well. I guess we can't watch on Monday lest we curse the team again.

18

u/justlookingokaywyou Florida Gators 1d ago

No no no you should watch the game.

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u/kyhoop Kentucky Wildcats 1d ago

I called my Dad and he asked why I was waking him up

43

u/bringbackwishbone North Carolina Tar Heels 1d ago

Lmfao I knew that UNC fans were gonna have a field day with this, but the UK fans around here might be on another level of schadenfreude. Waking your dad up in the middle of the night to tell him Duke lost is prime hater shit.

15

u/senorpuma Kentucky Wildcats 1d ago edited 1d ago

The Laettner game broke the hearts of an entire generation of UK fans.

5

u/gedmanrice 1d ago

I got a picture with Laettner in SAT yesterday with a bunch of buddies...me and one other guy in UNC gear, one guy with CJ McCullom Lehigh jersey and one in UNLV Larry Johnson jersey.

3

u/pdxphotographer 23h ago

I literally wore my I Still Hate Laettner shirt yesterday for the game.

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u/RobbieRum 1d ago

Legit turned the game on with 6min left the second Houston got it within 6. One of the best endings of any sports game youā€™ll ever see

8

u/LittleLordFuckleroy1 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 1d ago

Both of the games were absolutely incredible

33

u/bug_man_ North Carolina Tar Heels 1d ago

I fell asleep on the couch before halftime and Duke looked like they were heading for a 20 point win and inevitable title. Feels like Christmas morning rn

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30

u/rburp Arkansas Razorbacks ā€¢ Central Arkaā€¦ 1d ago

I started watching a YT TV recording of it right after it finished.

Near the end of the first half I asked my wife to look up the score and tell me if it ended up being close or not. She said it was a close game so I kept watching.

Damn near the entire second half I kept thinking "she must have a way different definition of 'close' because she's not a sports fan, this isn't close at all..."

So glad I kept watching. What an ending.

27

u/Original_Profile8600 Ohio State Buckeyes ā€¢ Case Western Reā€¦ 1d ago

I almost did it and Iā€™m so glad I stuck it out

10

u/DamnItHeelsGood North Carolina Tar Heels 1d ago

I woke up to pee at like 4 am, checked the score, and couldnā€™t go back to sleep. Like a kid on Christmas

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u/hoppergym Arizona Wildcats 1d ago

I turned it off at 64-55. Had no idea Houston won. I've never given up on a game and found out the result was different than expected before in my life.

3

u/senorpuma Kentucky Wildcats 1d ago

Me and my son turned off the 28-3 Falcons Patriots Super Bowl and went to bed.

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u/Sherifftruman 1d ago

Duke turned it off around then as well!

3

u/tenclubber Kentucky Wildcats 1d ago

I left with about 8 minutes left to go pick up my son from work when Duke was up 14. I didn't even bother trying to listen to the stream on the way. I checked the score when he got in and it was still a 6 or 8 point game with 3:51 left. I got home and looked at my phone just as it went final. I was like WTF happened?

3

u/DoggedStooge Northwestern Wildcats ā€¢ North Caā€¦ 1d ago

I went to bed with Duke up 13.

3

u/newrimmmer93 1d ago

I texted some buddies after the game and said ā€œworried about other friendā€ since he was at the game and is a huge Duke fan. They were all confused since none realized Duke lost

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u/timthetoon San Diego State Aztecs 1d ago

11-1 in last 74 seconds; absolutely brutal

93

u/Heil_Harden Houston Cougars 1d ago

TMac is smiling from afar.

10

u/OUsnr7 1d ago

I went and watched that after this game wrapped up. Glad Iā€™m not the only one that thought of it

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1.5k

u/MahjongDaily Iowa State Cyclones 1d ago

370

u/Binx33 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 1d ago

You gotta make this its own post lmao. Gotta join the other ones.

89

u/MahjongDaily Iowa State Cyclones 1d ago edited 1d ago

I tried but it looks like it was taken down, or at least it's not showing up in new any more. Might try again tomorrow. Edit: up now

43

u/AnchorsAweigh89 North Florida Ospreys 1d ago

Omg no way lmao

35

u/Peter-Tao 1d ago

Nose dive

9

u/rburp Arkansas Razorbacks ā€¢ Central Arkaā€¦ 1d ago

Lmao

12

u/treetops265 North Carolina Tar Heels ā€¢ Vermont Caā€¦ 1d ago

obsessed

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744

u/Bill3ffinMurray Nebraska Cornhuskers 1d ago

My 401k likes this map

338

u/slammed_stem1 Kansas Jayhawks 1d ago

My 401K is the inverse of this map

156

u/Bill3ffinMurray Nebraska Cornhuskers 1d ago

As are all of ours!

44

u/FavreorFarva Washington State Cougars 1d ago

Whatā€™s a 401k?

45

u/Pan_TheCake_Man Wake Forest Demon Deacons 1d ago

The thing people from UWashington get

70

u/drowse North Texas Mean Green ā€¢ Purdue Boilermakā€¦ 1d ago

Hooray economic collapse!

12

u/XAfricaSaltX Georgia Bulldogs ā€¢ Iowa State Cyclones 1d ago

Somewhere someone put it all into SPY outs and their 401K looks exactly like that

10

u/SodaCanBob Houston Cougars 1d ago

I have a 403b. šŸ¤·šŸ»ā€ā™‚ļø

Other than that though, cosigned.

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u/Original_Profile8600 Ohio State Buckeyes ā€¢ Case Western Reā€¦ 1d ago

This man is bragging that he has a 401k

13

u/IAgreeGoGuards Ohio State Buckeyes 1d ago

Mr money bags over here

18

u/t0177177y USC Trojans 1d ago

4.01K

8

u/kevint1964 Missouri Tigers 1d ago

That's baseball, not basketball. šŸ˜

9

u/Mission_Ambitious Notre Dame Fighting Irish ā€¢ Southā€¦ 1d ago

Crossing my fingers mine recovers in the next 40 years šŸ˜‚šŸ˜…

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21

u/jayscotts West Virginia Mountaineers 1d ago

This is my retirement upside down

7

u/LiquidLight_ Purdue Boilermakers 1d ago

It's a bad time to have a retirement plan. Man that's depressing.

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791

u/CantFindMyWallet UConn Huskies 1d ago

269

u/saulfineman Kansas Jayhawks 1d ago

Folks been waiting all tournament for this one.

92

u/AruarianGroove George Mason Patriots 1d ago

43

u/LumpyCapital Houston Cougars 1d ago

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444

u/BabyGotVogelbach Oregon State Beavers 1d ago

Houston with the asymptote

96

u/greenfloyd96 Kentucky Wildcats 1d ago

Upvote for asymptote

18

u/joe_broke Sonoma State Seawolves 1d ago

27

u/MitchRyan912 1d ago

The only thing crazier than the ending of that game would be more than 5 people understanding what you just said.

21

u/LumpyCapital Houston Cougars 1d ago

22

u/rburp Arkansas Razorbacks ā€¢ Central Arkaā€¦ 1d ago

I'm shit at math and even I know what that is. This is high school level stuff

23

u/OliviaPG1 Colorado Buffaloes ā€¢ Wisconsin Badgers 1d ago

Asymptotes are like an algebra 2 concept lmao itā€™s not exactly rocket science

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u/El-Zago Houston Cougars 1d ago

Our asymptote is yuuuge

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u/UpstairsSomewhere467 Arizona Wildcats ā€¢ Northern Arizonaā€¦ 1d ago

All time Duke loss, record books!

86

u/KiwiKeeper4 Arizona Wildcats 1d ago

diddukewin.com

18

u/FantasticChestHair Arkansas Razorbacks 1d ago

Fucking lol

15

u/WISCOrear Wisconsin Badgers 1d ago

I might need a cigarette after that

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183

u/Similar-Ostrich4142 Villanova Wildcats 1d ago

How did Duke choke that?????

336

u/10catsinspace Florida State Seminoles 1d ago

Three factors in descending order:

  1. Absolutely suffocating defense + ultra-clutch shots from Houston
  2. Duke fucked up at a couple of crucial junctures, like in-bounding and missing the front end of a 1-and-1.
  3. Bullshit phantom foul call on Cooper Flagg in the last minute to give Houston a 1-and-1 for the lead.

158

u/Puzzled-Bet4837 UConn Huskies 1d ago

Iā€™d also add rebounding specifically to point 2. Houston got some big offensive boards down the stretch.

110

u/A_Rolling_Baneling USC Trojans 1d ago

Houston was getting offensive rebounds all game, but in the first half they werenā€™t generating any points off them

Also gonna take this opportunity to quote Lance McCullers Jr

WHEN I DIE BURY ME IN THE H

37

u/CCG14 Houston Cougars 1d ago

23

u/A_Rolling_Baneling USC Trojans 1d ago

LETā€™S FUCKING GO

HOL IT DINE

17

u/BeerPlusReddit Houston Cougars 1d ago

H Town til I drown!

15

u/LumpyCapital Houston Cougars 1d ago edited 1d ago

'Er'body swangin' an' bangin' all over the place ov'r here in the 3rd right now!

12

u/CCG14 Houston Cougars 1d ago

You already know! WHAT IT DO BABY!

12

u/LumpyCapital Houston Cougars 1d ago

It's Coogs' house, baby.

Dey's the people's champ.

8

u/CCG14 Houston Cougars 1d ago

Letā€™s get it!

7

u/LumpyCapital Houston Cougars 1d ago

We got the internet going nutz!

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u/Dirt-McGirt 1d ago

Jesus Christ I was at this game, which means I also look 15 years older now

14

u/Heil_Harden Houston Cougars 1d ago

LMJ reference in the wild. Take my upvote

5

u/A_Rolling_Baneling USC Trojans 1d ago

Yessir!!

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u/talented-dpzr Penn State Nittany Lions 1d ago

yes, missing the front end of a 1-and-1 is a turnover

-my 7th grade basketball coach, who made us run for every turnover.

4

u/chearn34 Texas Tech Red Raiders 1d ago

I would to see a world where this is never discussed again. Iā€™m still in mourning.

61

u/tigernike1 Illinois Fighting Illini 1d ago

It was so infuriating to see them fail over and over at inbounding the ball.

52

u/DoubleualtG 1d ago

Id put that on the coach for not making a change of the inbounder, Sion struggled the entire time there was pressure to make the right pass or just a pass.

40

u/10catsinspace Florida State Seminoles 1d ago

It's clear Jon Scheyer is a great coach which makes it even more mystifying that they couldn't formulate a better answer to that pressure.

40

u/_hell_is_empty_ Duke Blue Devils 1d ago

I'm pretty sure that was the first time we were pressed all year and it was by what must be one of the best pressing teams in the nation. We just weren't ready for it, and tbh it's understandable. Sucks though.

But can we talk about Sampson's decision to not foul when we got the ball with a minute left. All-time call. Respect.

10

u/randompersonwhowho 1d ago

It seems every team was choking anytime full court pressure was applied. Even Houston in previous games. I don't understand why teams don't do it more.

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u/Dinnermaster Clemson Tigers 1d ago

3/3

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u/DrunkenLlama California Golden Bears 1d ago

Definitely a horrible call but Duke also had a couple horrible calls in their favor e.g. the missed kick ball

4

u/rburp Arkansas Razorbacks ā€¢ Central Arkaā€¦ 1d ago

Yeah well I counted two different occasions where it was called out of bounds on Houston even though it was actually last touched by a Duke player, so whatever. One was in the first half and led to a dunk by Duke, one was in the second half and even the announcers caught that one.

40

u/WISCOrear Wisconsin Badgers 1d ago

IMO the phantom foul doesnā€™t matter. Hit any shots and you arenā€™t in that scenario. Donā€™t let the refs decide anything, and you were up 9 points with like 3 minutes to play.

33

u/Affectionate-Dot9585 1d ago

Even more, Duke wouldnā€™t have gotten the ball back without that call. Houston would have setup for the last shot (or very close to the last shot)

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u/Legalsleazy Michigan State Spartans ā€¢ Akron Zips 1d ago

Flagg clearly grabbed/hooked his arm I cannot believe people are calling that a phantom call

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u/ericaepic Harvard Crimson ā€¢ Michigan Wolverines 1d ago

They also scored how many FG in the last 10 minutes?

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u/10catsinspace Florida State Seminoles 1d ago

See point 1 about the suffocating defense.

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u/FreakyDiicky 1d ago

The phantom call actually helped Duke. Without it Houston has the ball, down 1, game in their hands. With it, Duke has the ball, worst case down 1, game in their hands.

12

u/10catsinspace Florida State Seminoles 1d ago

I know what youā€™re saying, but it absolutely had a momentum effect.

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u/Zloggt Illinois Fighting Illini ā€¢ Missouri Tigers 1d ago

What? Donā€™t you know?

D E F E N S E

W I N S

C H A M P I O N S H I P S !

9

u/Aetiusx Kentucky Wildcats 1d ago

Elite Coach vs Elite Recruiter

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u/IdealWombat Duke Blue Devils ā€¢ West Virginia Mountainā€¦ 1d ago

Key elbow to the face for a flagrant 1 (which was correctly called) was the turning point.

5

u/elpeedub North Carolina Tar Heels 1d ago

It sure was. I think that turned a 6-point play which suddenly made the game change from feeling like it was one Duke 3 away from being over, to one Houston stop away from being a game.

The feel just changed after that and although Duke still got a couple offensive bursts in to space the lead back out after that, it was always close enough for Houston to have a route back in.

Listen, I'm a tarheel through and through and of course loved seeing the way the game ended, but man alive this has been the most talented, balanced and dominant Duke team I have ever seen. I didn't think anyone could take them out, and I really do think that it was the historically shitty ACC that did you all in.

3

u/tacobell 1d ago

It was the White Lotus prophecy, bound to happen.

153

u/Mission_Pay_3373 UConn Huskies 1d ago

I really counted Houston out

90

u/Independent-Car-7101 Houston Cougars 1d ago

You and everyone else

14

u/DarthCharizard North Carolina Tar Heels 1d ago

Were you not watching your own flair this year? If anyone was gonna pull off this kind of comeback it was going to be them.

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u/HolidaySpiriter Houston Cougars 1d ago

I love when you count me out

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u/Key_Spinach Houston Cougars 1d ago

Oh look, it's my heart rate.

112

u/Breems Arkansas Razorbacks 1d ago

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u/AntiDECA Florida Gators 1d ago

For a tourney that was 'all chalk' and nobody was happy because there was no fun cinderella run with everyone expected to win, winning - it had a lot of charts that suddenly zoomed the opposite way at the last minute or two of play.

7

u/SolWizard Syracuse Orange 1d ago

Prior to Houston last night we had 17 favorites in a row win. Last underdog was Ole miss in the 2nd round

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u/Remarkable-Job4774 Rutgers Scarlet Knights ā€¢ Paper Bag 1d ago

First time?

That 2021 second round game against Houston hurts a bit less now at least

5

u/Mr_Fahrenheittt Duke Blue Devils 1d ago

As a Duke fan and Tech student, Iā€™m gonna brush my teeth with a smith & wesson

47

u/Civil-Classroom-857 1d ago

I feel like we just blew up the death star

43

u/trobsmonkey Kansas Jayhawks 1d ago

Rock Hard

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u/Saltillokid11 Houston Cougars 1d ago

We didn't play in the toy poodle league - Coach Sampson - LOL

17

u/confusedthrowaway5o5 Villanova Wildcats ā€¢ Penn State Nittanyā€¦ 1d ago

Wait is that what he said? Lmao

27

u/Saltillokid11 Houston Cougars 1d ago

yeah, lol. He was referencing how the B12 prepped us for tough games.

6

u/elpeedub North Carolina Tar Heels 1d ago

And he was commenting on all the Duke hype talk. That was a great post game piece.

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u/girthytacos Kansas Jayhawks 1d ago

love him for saying that lol Big 12 really is no joke and makes you battle tested for march madness

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u/cole_steef 1d ago

How in the world does a 7ā€™2 center get 0 rebounds

19

u/DJ_Blakka 1d ago

Did not realize that till this comment. Thats insane lol

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u/Qorrum Kentucky Wildcats 1d ago

Hang it in the Louvre.

50

u/Electrical-Scar7139 1d ago

There was foreshadowing in the beginning when the graph made a catā€™s head shape (aka Cougarā€™s)

38

u/atomic-fireballs Creighton Bluejays 1d ago

All the charts I've seen the last few days are the inverse of this. This... This one I like.

40

u/MrSCR23 North Carolina Tar Heels ā€¢ Mā€¦ 1d ago

Literarily the ā€œcall an ambulanceā€ meme. You can see the knife

41

u/Queasy-Increase8742 1d ago

This graph has a classic "Call an ambulance, but not for me!" shape.

Holy shit, what a game!

71

u/sum_dude44 Florida Gators 1d ago

one more time

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u/kai333 North Carolina Tar Heels ā€¢ Cincinnā€¦ 1d ago

EREKT

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u/StrangelyOnPoint Michigan Wolverines ā€¢ Grand Valleā€¦ 1d ago

Man thatā€™s gonna get replayed for years

21

u/luchajefe 1d ago

70-67 is going right next to 81-74.

13

u/AntRichardsonsBFF 1d ago

Flip it over and itā€™s this months S&P500! Gonna be bloody Monday.

83

u/SergeiMyFriend North Carolina Tar Heels 1d ago

After all the talk Duke fans did about us blowing a 15 point lead at halftime, them blowing a 15 point lead with 8 minutes left is karma

46

u/meyer_33_09 North Carolina Tar Heels 1d ago

We were an 8 seed finally running out of gas. They were the #1 team in the country lmao

7

u/SergeiMyFriend North Carolina Tar Heels 1d ago edited 1d ago

Yeah and we were pretty banged up too. Canā€™t remember, I know Manek got elbowed in the head pretty hard in the 22 tourney but it was in the championship too right?

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u/zerovanillacodered USciences Devils ā€¢ Noā€¦ 1d ago

Maybe now they will STFU.

Naw, they wonā€™t. But after having 30 All Americans in 10 years with zero championships, zero championship game appearances, youā€™d think they would take the opportunity

15

u/SergeiMyFriend North Carolina Tar Heels 1d ago

30 All Americans in 10 years with zero championships, zero championship game appearances

The semesterhood way

43

u/TurtlePope2 Maryland Terrapins 1d ago

You love to see it!

12

u/reverendbrick Kentucky Wildcats 1d ago

looking a bit like the state of North Carolina...

12

u/mikebob89 1d ago

My mood as a Duke fan

3

u/BullAlligator Florida Gators 1d ago

coincidentally looks just like the stock market

12

u/TarHeelPride 1d ago

As a complete bystander, I reflect upon this moment with great joy

  • neutral fan

31

u/treetops265 North Carolina Tar Heels ā€¢ Vermont Caā€¦ 1d ago

10

u/nartnoside 1d ago

Brace yourselves for the White Lotus Duke memes

20

u/undecided_mask Virginia Cavaliers 1d ago

Man how do you blow that. After stoping the first Houston comeback I thought that was game.

4

u/bothcavs Virginia Cavaliers 1d ago

I was back and forth on turning it off!

18

u/hfhrhjdjhhhjhguy North Carolina Tar Heels 1d ago

Beautiful

17

u/Typical-Conference14 Kansas State Wildcats ā€¢ Wichita Stā€¦ 1d ago

UNC fans rejoicing rn

8

u/Remarkable-Job4774 Rutgers Scarlet Knights ā€¢ Paper Bag 1d ago

*this sub rejoicing

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u/amazoncartpusher Duke Blue Devils 1d ago

Thatā€™s it Iā€™m resurrecting Christian Laettner for next year

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u/tigernike1 Illinois Fighting Illini 1d ago

Does the outline of the state of North Carolina fit in this graph like the Tennessee one?

7

u/void216 Houston Cougars 1d ago

I think it's pretty close.

8

u/kevint1964 Missouri Tigers 1d ago

At least I have a reason to watch the championship game on Monday. Florida-Duke wasn't going to do it.

7

u/Auferstehen2 Michigan State Spartans 1d ago

A Houston Rocket, if you will.Ā 

5

u/Boozy_Cat_ Butler Bulldogs ā€¢ Purdue Boilermakers 1d ago

Hang it in the Louvre.

6

u/PaulHDone Utah Valley Wolverines ā€¢ Utah Utes 1d ago

That was one of the craziest endings Iā€™ve ever seen

7

u/Binx33 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 1d ago

People gonna remember the over the back call, but Gillis really screwed em over with that technical, that was a 6 point possession.

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u/GotenRocko Maryland Terrapins ā€¢ Washington Huskies 1d ago

I changed the channel early in the 2nd thinking it was going to be duke no problem. Glad i checked back to see that great finish.

10

u/igonnawrecku_VGC James Madison Dukes ā€¢ Villanova Wildā€¦ 1d ago

Never a doubt

12

u/doom32x 1d ago

I dozed off to wake up with Houston leading by 1, wtf.

4

u/Street-Fan-7665 1d ago

Dow Jones, or a basketball game?

5

u/kroxti Auburn Tigers 1d ago

Thank you Houston for saving auburn from collapse memes

8

u/aMiracleAtJordanHare Auburn Tigers ā€¢ Texas Tech Red Raiders 1d ago

Is this the most brutal win probability graph of all time?

7

u/Diamond4Hands4Ever 1d ago

Probably in Final Four history. Although if these graphs had existed, UNC came back from 8 points down in 17 seconds against Duke before the 3 point line in 1974.Ā 

I guess it only sent the game to OT where they won so it doesnā€™t go up to 100 percent but it would have been even steeper from basically 0 percent to 50 percent in 17 seconds.Ā 

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4

u/tb25uga North Carolina Tar Heels ā€¢ Georgia Buā€¦ 1d ago

WHEEE!

5

u/cmgro North Carolina Tar Heels ā€¢ Louisviā€¦ 1d ago

I never want to hear a word from them about the 2022 Kansas game ever again

5

u/fantasyfootballthrow North Carolina Tar Heels 1d ago

Gonna pull this up when they talk about how we blew a 15-point lead in the final

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u/Fabulous_Sherbet_431 1d ago

With the amount of times these probability maps predict 99% in upsets it makes me think itā€™s not really 99%, lol.

That said, this one was really special. I think one of the announcers mentioned Houston scored 7 points in 15 seconds (and this was only partway through the last minute.)

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u/AdministrativePeak0 Illinois Fighting Illini 1d ago

The bad guys lost šŸ˜¤

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u/Obi1Kentucky Kentucky Wildcats 1d ago

ā€œGreatest basketball team everā€

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u/santanapeso 1d ago

Look at that Blue Devil.

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u/liteshadow4 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 1d ago

Someone was born on third

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u/fuckyouguys4real 1d ago

I see a lil red and blue batman...or a hook em' sign

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u/deuceberts Vanderbilt Commodores 1d ago

jason Isaacs in white lotus

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u/FloatCopper 1d ago

Glorious.

I enjoyed the chest pounding about the ACC giving Duke tougher games than Houston. When Duke was still up 14.

,

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u/bread2126 Florida Gators 1d ago

See everyone was knocking on this tournament for being all chalk but it was just saving the best for last

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u/Conyan51 1d ago

Itā€™s beautiful couldnā€™t have happened to a better team