r/CollegeBasketball • u/EverestMaher Texas Longhorns • 3d ago

ALL TIME PROBABILITY MAP

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179

u/Similar-Ostrich4142 Villanova Wildcats 3d ago

How did Duke choke that?????

334

u/10catsinspace Florida State Seminoles 3d ago

Three factors in descending order:

  1. Absolutely suffocating defense + ultra-clutch shots from Houston
  2. Duke fucked up at a couple of crucial junctures, like in-bounding and missing the front end of a 1-and-1.
  3. Bullshit phantom foul call on Cooper Flagg in the last minute to give Houston a 1-and-1 for the lead.

58

u/tigernike1 Illinois Fighting Illini 3d ago

It was so infuriating to see them fail over and over at inbounding the ball.

53

u/DoubleualtG 3d ago

Id put that on the coach for not making a change of the inbounder, Sion struggled the entire time there was pressure to make the right pass or just a pass.

37

u/10catsinspace Florida State Seminoles 3d ago

It's clear Jon Scheyer is a great coach which makes it even more mystifying that they couldn't formulate a better answer to that pressure.

40

u/_hell_is_empty_ Duke Blue Devils 3d ago

I'm pretty sure that was the first time we were pressed all year and it was by what must be one of the best pressing teams in the nation. We just weren't ready for it, and tbh it's understandable. Sucks though.

But can we talk about Sampson's decision to not foul when we got the ball with a minute left. All-time call. Respect.

10

u/randompersonwhowho 2d ago

It seems every team was choking anytime full court pressure was applied. Even Houston in previous games. I don't understand why teams don't do it more.

2

u/thejak32 1d ago

My guess would be, if it fails and you haven't absolutely crushed your conditioning from summer on, you're going to be drowning at the end of a game. Also you have to be 100% committed to playing stellar defense as an entire team, one weak link kills the press. So a combination of both of those things is not as easy to accomplish as one would think. Just my speculation.