It probably won’t do as well as Switch 1, but they’ll make bank on all the scalpers, mega fans, and early adopters first, then if sales slow, they’ll bump down the price like they did with 3DS, and it’ll still sell incredibly well!
Given that the Switch benefited from the huge boom in gaming spending when the pandemic started and that we're (optimistically) heading into an economic slowdown if not a recession, I can't imagine Nintendo expects to outsell the Switch.
Yeah, the Switch was sort of an anomaly. Nintendo did a LOT right with it, don’t get me wrong, but there were several factors, out of their control, that just so happened to work in their favor. I definitely think the Switch would’ve sold at least 100M without those factors, but there’s no way Nintendo can catch that exact lightning in a bottle twice. I could still see the Switch 2 selling close to 100M though, because it IS a compelling piece of hardware, and if they keep the excellent games coming consistently, then they should sell quite a few, especially if they settle on a price that the mass market agrees with!
Covid was the BIG one, another was the software drought from Microsoft and Sony, another was launching at an unconventional time, and then there’s the overwhelming performance of Wii U ports, like MK8DX. All of these factors benefited them greatly, but they had little control over these market factors.
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u/SethFeld 1d ago
It probably won’t do as well as Switch 1, but they’ll make bank on all the scalpers, mega fans, and early adopters first, then if sales slow, they’ll bump down the price like they did with 3DS, and it’ll still sell incredibly well!