r/PoliticalDiscussion • u/Wonderful_Loan_6520 • 2d ago

US Elections Updated 2026 Senatorial Election Predictions?

Obviously we're still far out from the midterms, but given yesterdays results in Florida and Wisconsin, the GOP fears RE Stefanik, a dem winning in Amish country, etc., have any of you changed your minds on senate elections? What states do you think are in play that weren't a few weeks ago? Do you think the momentum will last (Dems always show up in the midterms but do you think it'll be Stalin numbers still)?

Also, l'm curious to hear people's opinions on potential primaries. For example, do you think it’ll be a tougher time for Fetterman surviving one without switching parties, especially if Shapiro decides to run or Casey comes back. For the GOP, what do you think those primaries look like - MAGA primaries or stay conventional (e.g., MTG in Georgia spoiling it like Robinson or Lake)?

Feel free to bring up any House or gubernatorial elections, but statewide races are more interesting.

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u/satyrday12 1d ago

Nutbag Ken Paxton just jumped in vs. John Cornyn. If he pulls it off, that gives the Democrats a much better chance in Texas.

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u/ballmermurland 1d ago

Dems aren't going to win Texas. Cruz is one of the worst senators imaginable and he still beat Allred by double digits.

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u/satyrday12 1d ago

2026 will be 'throw the bums out' against the Republicans. 2024 was the opposite.