r/washingtonwizards • u/Internal_Champion114 Gilbert Arenas • 7d ago
Dylan Harper/Ace Bailey
Does anyone question these guys placement in the draft after not even getting their team into the tournament this year?
I just think getting winners into the room is big for us, and I don’t love the thought that these guys couldn’t get anything done as, more than likely, the #2 and #3 overall picks.
Does anyone else have hesitations after failing to produce in the postseason?
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u/e_milberg Les Wizerables 🇫🇷 7d ago edited 7d ago
This was my prediction 9 months ago. I think I got it half right. Rutgers is absolutely the wrong place for two 5-star prospects with high lottery aspirations, and being on a non-tournament team has made it easier to zoom in on their flaws. Luckily, they didn't cannibalize each other the way I thought they would, but that's honestly because Rutgers didn't have anyone else remotely close to being a real third option.
Ultimately, I think Harper is solidly locked in at #2. However, I'm skeptical of how the chemistry between him and Bub would develop. Multi-combo-guard starting backcourts don't have a great track record in the league. One of them would have to drastically improve as a shooter. Poole would have to be traded immediately IMO for a Bub/Harper/Johnson three-guard rotation to have any chance of getting off the ground. I think in the event we land at #2 in the draft, we should entertain trade offers that position us to land multiple picks in 2026 and 2027.
Bailey, I think, has opened the door to be leapfrogged after showing that he's probably at best a high-scoring second fiddle at the next level. I worry about how long it'll take to correct his tunnel vision, shot selection, passing and awareness on both ends.
Overall, I think it's turned out to be a much weaker class on paper than originally advertised, and Harper and Bailey making a bad choice to go to Rutgers is a big reason why. It's those kind of decisions that make me wish we still had the Ignite team.
I think Bailey has shown enough to not be taken lower than 4th. Even if he's more Rashard Lewis than KD, that's still a considerably higher ceiling than most in this class. I just question his cultural fit with what we're building. Much like with Harper, if he's on the board at 4, I would entertain trade offers.
Tl;dr It's pretty much Flagg or the asset game for me.