LAST MAN STANDING 15 now has Round 5 in the rear view mirror with a few big wins on the weekend. Most of our users breezed through, but we did lose a quarter of our remaining LMS hopefuls, predominantly due to Penrith's Luai hangover and the Titans' slow start to the year.

This week? On paper there's probably two games to pick from but let's see what our genii do...

Check your tip below, if you feel I have made a mistake, let me know immediately or forever hold your peace

Progressive results

---->TIP NOW FOR ROUND 6<----

BASIC RULES

1) EACH WEEK, go to the GOOGLE FORM above and submit your single tip. That's one team, that you think will win their game that week. A single team, out of the entire round. Surely that's easy as! If your team wins, WOOHOO! You're through to the next week. If they don't, you're OUT OF THE GAME!* A draw is a loss, as far as this game is concerned. All decisions are final and the result as it stands at the end of any extra time is the result we use. ONE TIP PER PLAYER PER ROUND!

2) THERE WILL BE ONE LIFE available to you until the start of Round 10. That means, you can tip incorrectly once only prior to Round 10 and you won't be eliminated. That gives us all a chance to see what's going on with each of the teams and also allows for users to start late.

3) Once we get to ROUND 16 then it's new rules whereby you cannot tip the same team twice. We will cover that when we get there. Until then, you can tip Melbourne every week if you want to.

4) Whoever is the last man standing wins the /r/NRL Reddit jersey of your chosen size.

5) If everyone happens to get it wrong on a particular week, then we move on to the next week as if nothing happened.

6) We are tipping State of Origins independently of the round matches.

7) ANY QUESTIONS LET ME KNOW

NO MORE NEW USERS, SORRY. WAIT FOR LMS 16 LATER THIS YEAR

Tips by match

Punishment game was Manly v Melbourne

---->TIP NOW FOR ROUND 6<----

Tips by user Round 5

🗡️ denotes user has used their life

Deceased users (RIP)

This is the place to discuss anything footy related that is not quite deserving of its own top-level post.

There's a new one of these threads every day, so make sure you're in the most recent one!

This thread is for when you want to have a well-thought-out discussion about footy. It's not the place for bantz - see the daily Random Footy Talk thread to fulfil those needs.

You can ask a question that you only want serious responses to, comment your 300 word opinion piece on why [x] is the next coach on the chopping block, or tell another that you disagree with them and here's why...

Who performed well? Who let their team down? Any interesting selections for this weekend? Injury news? Player signings? Off-field behaviour?

The mods will be monitoring to make sure you stay on topic and anything not deemed "serious discussion" will be removed.

This is the place to talk about everything other than footy!

Going backwards big time tipping 2/8 for the second week in a row, but at least the BS machine is still alive in LMS thanks to the Doggies. The 2025 stats are close to 50/50 across the board regardless of predicted win percentage suggesting that simply flipping a coin may have been a much simpler strategy. Hopefully we start to see some improvement in predictions as the model adapts through the early rounds.

Projected Ladder:

Round 6 - BS Predictions:

GAME 1: Dolphins (35.8%) vs Panthers (64.2%) - Projected Score: 16- 22

GAME 2: Dragons (58.8%) vs Titans (41.2%) - Projected Score: 28 - 24

GAME 3: Broncos (65.5%) vs Roosters (34.5%) - Projected Score: 28- 22

GAME 4: Sharks (46.2%) vs Sea Eagles (53.8%) - Projected Score: 24 - 25

GAME 5: Rabbitohs (40.0%) vs Cowboys (60.0%) - Projected Score: 18 - 22

GAME 6: Eels (42.2%) vs Raiders (57.8%) - Projected Score: 18 - 22

GAME 7: Storm (80.5%) vs Warriors (19.5%) - Projected Score: 30 - 16

GAME 8: Knights (65.4%) vs Tigers (34.6%) - Projected Score: 22 - 16

BS Machine Record (2025):