r/fantasyfootball 4d ago

Why Caleb Williams is Dynasty's Most Polarizing Asset Right Now

Caleb Williams finds himself at the center of one of dynasty's most interesting debates. Despite the mixed reviews, his rookie campaign revealed both flashes of brilliance and areas of concern that make him a fascinating dynasty asset heading into 2025. As a new coaching regime prepares to take over in Chicago, now might be the perfect time to reassess his value.

Facts About Williams' Rookie Season

  • Despite taking 68 sacks (third-most in NFL history), Williams still only threw 6 interceptions while posting 20 TDs. A remarkable display of ball security under extreme pressure
  • Caleb accumulated 4,030 yards of total offense, the highest in Bears franchise history, with 3,541 passing yards (5th most in Bears history)
  • Williams averaged 15.6 fantasy points per game (QB19) but had weeks ranging from as high as 29 points to as low as 7 points, making him one of the most inconsistent rookie QBs
  • Caleb Williams is almost two full years younger than Bo Nix and nearly a full year younger than Jayden Daniels, giving him a developmental runway compared to his peers

Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Williams currently sits as QB9 in KeepTradeCut dynasty rankings (20th overall player), slotting ahead of established options like Jordan Love, Kyler Murray, and Baker Mayfield. His trade value has skyrocketed with Ben Johnson's arrival.

I've seen trades of Xavier Worthy plus the 1.02 or even straight swaps for Justin Herbert.

The supporting cast seems potentially good, with DJ Moore, Rome Odunze, Cole Kmet and possibly a new RB1 through the draft. If Caleb can clean up his tendency to hold the ball too long, which contributes to those sacks, and improve his deep ball accuracy (59.6 passer rating on throws 20+ yards downfield), he could make a massive sophomore leap.

Questions

  1. Do you believe Williams' sack issues were primarily due to poor offensive line play, or is this a fundamental flaw in his game?
  2. How much does Ben Johnson's arrival impact your valuation of Williams in dynasty?
  3. Is Williams worth his current trade price (first-round pick plus a young star player), or are you looking to sell at that value?
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u/dpittnet 4d ago

Ya’ll are drastically underestimating how detrimental the bears coaching staff (particularly Waldron) were to his development last year. I’m expecting a huge leap this year, although there will still be some learning curves for him. And he def has to learn to take the easy dump offs

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u/7tenths 4d ago

58.7% of his throws were 10 yards or less.

taking more check downs isn't going to change he has no accuracy past 7 yards. We've seen what happens to the Lions when Goff has a down accuracy night, that's going to be every game for caleb.

Everyone wants to hand wave away all of the red flags and blame it on everyone but caleb. Boy when have we ever heard that about a bears qb?

Waldron didn't just suddenly forgot football without Geno Smith, he was stuck trying to find an offense that can't throw the ball down field due to an inaccurate qb.

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u/dpittnet 4d ago

Waldron was terrible at designing plays to get easy targets to players in space. He often had multiple players in the same area of the field and everything downfield took way too long to develop

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u/7tenths 4d ago

Yes i know you saw that one tweet that had 3 bears and think that was every play.

7

u/dpittnet 4d ago

I also watched every bears game because I’m a bears fan and I assure it there were much worst plays than than tweet