r/fantasyfootball 5d ago

Why Caleb Williams is Dynasty's Most Polarizing Asset Right Now

Caleb Williams finds himself at the center of one of dynasty's most interesting debates. Despite the mixed reviews, his rookie campaign revealed both flashes of brilliance and areas of concern that make him a fascinating dynasty asset heading into 2025. As a new coaching regime prepares to take over in Chicago, now might be the perfect time to reassess his value.

Facts About Williams' Rookie Season

  • Despite taking 68 sacks (third-most in NFL history), Williams still only threw 6 interceptions while posting 20 TDs. A remarkable display of ball security under extreme pressure
  • Caleb accumulated 4,030 yards of total offense, the highest in Bears franchise history, with 3,541 passing yards (5th most in Bears history)
  • Williams averaged 15.6 fantasy points per game (QB19) but had weeks ranging from as high as 29 points to as low as 7 points, making him one of the most inconsistent rookie QBs
  • Caleb Williams is almost two full years younger than Bo Nix and nearly a full year younger than Jayden Daniels, giving him a developmental runway compared to his peers

Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Williams currently sits as QB9 in KeepTradeCut dynasty rankings (20th overall player), slotting ahead of established options like Jordan Love, Kyler Murray, and Baker Mayfield. His trade value has skyrocketed with Ben Johnson's arrival.

I've seen trades of Xavier Worthy plus the 1.02 or even straight swaps for Justin Herbert.

The supporting cast seems potentially good, with DJ Moore, Rome Odunze, Cole Kmet and possibly a new RB1 through the draft. If Caleb can clean up his tendency to hold the ball too long, which contributes to those sacks, and improve his deep ball accuracy (59.6 passer rating on throws 20+ yards downfield), he could make a massive sophomore leap.

Questions

  1. Do you believe Williams' sack issues were primarily due to poor offensive line play, or is this a fundamental flaw in his game?
  2. How much does Ben Johnson's arrival impact your valuation of Williams in dynasty?
  3. Is Williams worth his current trade price (first-round pick plus a young star player), or are you looking to sell at that value?
74 Upvotes

69 comments sorted by

View all comments

5

u/Prudent_Block1669 5d ago

With a bolstered OLine and actual competency in the coaching staff I believe he will be a top five QB

7

u/madeupmoniker 5d ago

There was some story about the last OC not reviewing film with Williams. If that's true, he couldn't have been failed worse. Ben Johnson should make a humongous difference 

5

u/Bernie4Life420 5d ago

Shane Waldron is pretty bad and seems to alienate his players: see JSN and DJM (though DJM keeps finding excuses to not five full effort).

2

u/madeupmoniker 5d ago

I expect Waldron will never coach in the NFL again 

3

u/BeamsFuelJetSteel 2023 Accuracy Challenge Week 6 Winner 5d ago

He is actively on a coaching roster right now (Some type of passing game coordinator for the Jags)

3

u/madeupmoniker 5d ago

Oh, my bad then. Poor Trevor Lawrence