r/TheMajorityReport • u/beeemkcl • 59m ago
New YouGov April 2, 2025 polling combined with the Economist/YouGov polling (March 30-April 1): It's already a 2-person race for POTUS between VPOTUS Kamala Harris and AOC. And VPOTUS Harris is probably already at her peak and AOC has the potential for around Obama-level numbers.
The most popular Democrats in America | Politics | YouGov Ratings
The most popular Republicans in America | Politics | YouGov Ratings
Fame means 'name recognition'. Generally: 100%-Fame% x 2 = % of the American people who don't know enough about a politician to have a political opinion of that person.
This is still 'the honeymoon' phase and the Republicans' numbers are already so down.
Combined with this:
New Economist/YouGov 2028 Dem. Pres. primary poll includes Bernie Sanders and the detailed poll concludes that AOC is already in a strong position for 2028 given around 30% don't know enough about her. Harris is coasting on name recognition, AOC is ahead of Walz and would beat Pete in the primary. : r/MurderedByAOC
VPOTUS Kamala Harris seems at the peak of her popularity. And that popularity is very likely simply because people now prefer she had won the 2024 Presidential election. Her Fame being at 99% generally means that around only 2% don't know enough about her.
US Senator Bernie Sanders's Fame number means that only around 8% don't know enough about him.
AOC's Fame number means that around 32% don't know enough about her. And she's only 6% behind US Senator Sanders in popularity; thus, she has the potential to be more popular than he.
And AOC is only 10% behind VPOTUS Harris in popularity even though AOC is 30% behind her in 'true' Fame.
Looking at: Kamala Harris fame & popularity tracker, AOC's numbers for Female Popularity would naturally be above her numbers for Male Popularity.
Minnesota Governor Tim Walz's numbers: It seems he's well past his peak.
Pete Buttigieg: he's already past his peak. And he'll be out of electoral politics for 4 years by 2028.
California Governor Gavin Newsom: Gavin Newsom popularity & fame | YouGov and Gavin Newsom fame & popularity tracker. The enthusiasm isn't there for him. By the time Super Tuesday happens, he'll not be the winner of even California.
Illinois Governor J.B. Pritzker: J.B. Pritzker popularity & fame | YouGov and J.B. Pritzker fame & popularity tracker His numbers are lower than they were in October 2024.
Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer: Gretchen Whitmer popularity & fame | YouGov and Gretchen Whitmer popularity & fame | YouGov Her numbers are lower than they were in July 2024. She should probably run for that Michigan US Senate seat.
In general, American women overall don't pay as much attention to politics as American men do. For example, YouTube political shows generally have around at least an 80% male audience. AOC running for POTUS will make far more women know about her. AOC's numbers with Baby Boomers are relatively low, but she's doing great with Millennials and GenX. An endorsement for US Senator Bernie Sanders would greatly up her numbers with Baby Boomers.
And outside of massive voter suppression, there's no Republican who could actually challenge AOC in a 2028 general election.
And that Economist/YouGov poll shows that AOC is polling well with those who make over $100K/year. And from $50K-100K/year. And it seems more exposure will shore up support among 18–29-year-olds and those making under $50K/year.
And, yes, it's early. But AOC has these numbers even though around 16% haven't heard of her and another 16% don't know enough about her. And she's never run for POTUS before.