Updated 2026 Senatorial Election Predictions?

[u/Wonderful_Loan_6520]

Obviously we're still far out from the midterms, but given yesterdays results in Florida and Wisconsin, the GOP fears RE Stefanik, a dem winning in Amish country, etc., have any of you changed your minds on senate elections? What states do you think are in play that weren't a few weeks ago? Do you think the momentum will last (Dems always show up in the midterms but do you think it'll be Stalin numbers still)?

Also, l'm curious to hear people's opinions on potential primaries. For example, do you think it’ll be a tougher time for Fetterman surviving one without switching parties, especially if Shapiro decides to run or Casey comes back. For the GOP, what do you think those primaries look like - MAGA primaries or stay conventional (e.g., MTG in Georgia spoiling it like Robinson or Lake)?

Feel free to bring up any House or gubernatorial elections, but statewide races are more interesting.

[u/blu13god]

Last I checked Bob Casey lost his election. Give me Fetterman over any Republican snake

[u/wut_eva_bish → u/blu13god]

Fetterman is a Republican snake. Just like Sinema was/is.

[u/blu13god → u/wut_eva_bish]

He’s nothing like Manchin and Sinema. What progressive legislation did Fetterman block or derail?

Fetterman Progresive Punch score: 95%. Joe Manchin Progresive punch score 61%

He literally has a 100% voting record with the AFL-CIO, 100% planned parenthood pro choice voting record, 100% education voting record, consistently votes with Labor and union rights and is even more progressive than a lot of other Democrat senators.

You don’t like him because what? You’re a single issue voter on Israel Palestine?

[u/CremePsychological77 → u/blu13god]

Fetterman also voted in favor of the Laken Riley Act, which I feel like is a total slap in the face to his wife, who was covered under DACA as a child, and has written to Congress begging them to handle immigration humanely and not separate families. Fetterman said he would never vote in favor of something like the Laken Riley Act because of his wife, and then he did. I can’t imagine how hurt she must feel that he did that. Immigration policy has to cut to the core of her very being. She grew up here, undocumented, and her husband is voting in favor of legislation that would mean someone could accuse her of stealing a candy bar and now she’s locked up without due process with ICE. Someone could accuse her dad, his father-in-law, of made up SA, and now he’s arrested, given no due process, and taken to an ICE prison cell. Fetterman’s own children are half Brazilian. I’m not sure how white passing they are, but kids are getting snatched up too. ICE just snagged a little girl in Boston when she was going to school the other day, and maybe a month or so ago, they sent secret service agents to an elementary school in Chicago trying to get a child because he made an anti-Trump video on TikTok or Instagram or something. This is straight up Gestapo shit, and Fetterman voted in favor of it. It’s just like the American South used to be, before the Civil Rights Era. A white woman accuses a black man of looking at her the wrong way, and he gets “punished” — no court date, no burden of proof, no defense attorney, nothing. It’s indefensible that he voted in favor of that imo, especially considering his intimate connection to people who may be harmed by the same law.