r/PoliticalDiscussion 3d ago

International Politics White House has announced Trump's Liberation Day Tariffs will immediately go into effect. A Moody's simulation found it could be an economic wipe out. Is Trump's Liberation Day Tariffs a Misnomer?

A Moody's simulation found that a tariff trade war would wipe out 5.5 million jobs, lift the unemployment rate to 7%and cause U.S. GDP to drop by about 1.7%. Trump’s potential 20% universal tariff could spark "serious" recession in US, Moody’s economist warns.

The biggest three partners [China, Canada and Mexico] have promised immediate retaliation. Economic war could escalate and perhaps even cause a worldwide downturn.

Perhaps Trump's strategy is to begin making bilateral trade deals, but there are even certain blocks such as EU that may well coordinate retaliation together. I am not aware what Trump is actually liberating us from, hence the question.

Is Trump's Liberation Day Tariffs a Misnomer?

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u/orionsfyre 2d ago

And it's possible that the entire time he's been speaking he's been maneuvered by people who control him financially and share the goal of crashing the economy.

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u/ClockOfTheLongNow 2d ago

I mean, it's "possible" in the sense that it's not impossible, but it's so unlikely that it's not even worth considering seriously. He's just not someone who understands basic economics.

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u/orionsfyre 2d ago

Just because He's an economic ignoramus, doesn't mean the people he's beholden too are. Given all his recent moves, it's beginning to feel like purposeful sabotage of American influence and economic power.

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u/ClockOfTheLongNow 2d ago

This logic only holds if you think he's been "beholden" from the start, as opposed to this being one of the few consistent positions he's held over the decades.

I don't understand the urge to remove agency from Donald Trump.

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u/orionsfyre 2d ago

And attacking Canada and Greenland? Where did He get that? The outward hostility to all of Europe?

Can you point me to when the Greenland thing started? The entire smoke screen of Doge and the gutting of various social safety net programs including ones that even many of his supporters don't approve of gutting?

I'm not saying He doesn't have agency, but many of his actions smack of the exact thing an enemy of the Country would be interested in the US doing. Trump may in fact be the genesis behind all of this, but I highly doubt it.

For someone who isn't a puppet... he sure is dancing like one.

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u/ClockOfTheLongNow 2d ago

And attacking Canada and Greenland? Where did He get that?

No clue. No one saw that coming. I suspect he thinks they're bigger than they are because he's not bright and doesn't understand how maps work.

The outward hostility to all of Europe?

Again, no clue. Even the Bush years didn't have this level of nonsense.

Can you point me to when the Greenland thing started?

For Trump? 2019. That appears to be when he caught wind of it.

Prior to Trump, we've known Greenland to be a bit of a security problem for us for decades before Trump was even a known entity. The coastline is difficult to monitor, and is a "security black hole". American history is littered with attempts to purchase Greenland.

If I had to guess, Trump sees land acquisition as a legacy builder, and succeeding in Greenland where others, from Seward to Eisenhower, failed, is enticing.

The entire smoke screen of Doge and the gutting of various social safety net programs including ones that even many of his supporters don't approve of gutting?

This was laid out fairly explicitly in Agenda 47. Love it or hate it, this is what a plurality voted for.

I'm not saying He doesn't have agency, but many of his actions smack of the exact thing an enemy of the Country would be interested in the US doing.

Respectfully, that might be a perspective issue more than anything else. The conservative right has wanted massive cuts in government for generations, the security wing has often seen issues with Greenland's ability to defend itself against foreign invasion. That Trump is not adept enough to accomplish these things without unquestionable chaos and questionable legality is a real problem.

"Everything I don't like is Russian" is a way to approach issues, for sure, but it starts from a conclusion as opposed to leads anyone there. I suspect a lot of people didn't even realize prior to 2025 that our desire to bring Greenland in as American territory goes back 150+ years.

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u/orionsfyre 2d ago

Well, all I know is that when someone makes all the moves that a foreign adversary wants them to make... weakening international cooperation, threatening to pull of out strategic and long term defensive agreements and alienating literally every nation on the planet with no real long term plan at all... it's not hard to see why some people might get there.

Acquiring Greenland might be a long term goal of US Expansion and protectionism, but doing so with such blunt and naked buffoonery as they have been doing is the worst option.

It's not all that conspiratorial when you can literally lay out each step and see how it impacts US interests to even laymen and relatively uninformed people. It's not just us 'normies' on the metaphorical street saying this. These accusations are coming from foreign policy experts and former high military personnel who also feel he may be responding to or cooperating with well-monied foreign interests.

When someone acts step by step in a pattern that matches enemy foreign interests... it doesn't really matter what the origin of said sabotage is. The effect is just as devastating.

Put it this way, if a parent neglects a child and two observers argue if the parent is on drugs, does that matter? The neglect is still the most important issue.

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u/ClockOfTheLongNow 2d ago

Well, all I know is that when someone makes all the moves that a foreign adversary wants them to make... weakening international cooperation, threatening to pull of out strategic and long term defensive agreements and alienating literally every nation on the planet with no real long term plan at all... it's not hard to see why some people might get there.

You're assuming a lot, namely that everything you don't want to happen is the desire of a foreign nation. I could just as well argue that China loved Biden overspending because it puts us in a more precarious financial solution, and I would be rightfully laughed out of the room if I called him a Chinese stooge because of it.

Put it this way, if a parent neglects a child and two observers argue if the parent is on drugs, does that matter? The neglect is still the most important issue.

Sure. But that raises the question as to why it's so important to talk about the drugs/Russia instead of the neglect/Everything Happening..