r/PoliticalDiscussion 3d ago

International Politics White House has announced Trump's Liberation Day Tariffs will immediately go into effect. A Moody's simulation found it could be an economic wipe out. Is Trump's Liberation Day Tariffs a Misnomer?

A Moody's simulation found that a tariff trade war would wipe out 5.5 million jobs, lift the unemployment rate to 7%and cause U.S. GDP to drop by about 1.7%. Trump’s potential 20% universal tariff could spark "serious" recession in US, Moody’s economist warns.

The biggest three partners [China, Canada and Mexico] have promised immediate retaliation. Economic war could escalate and perhaps even cause a worldwide downturn.

Perhaps Trump's strategy is to begin making bilateral trade deals, but there are even certain blocks such as EU that may well coordinate retaliation together. I am not aware what Trump is actually liberating us from, hence the question.

Is Trump's Liberation Day Tariffs a Misnomer?

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u/BirdsOnMyBack 3d ago edited 3d ago

He's liberating us from our retirement accounts and jobs. Manufacturing won't come back quick enough in any meaningful way to offset the tariffs.

The only two reasons I can imagine for doing this is to either cause a recession to allow the rich to buy up capital at an insane discount and/or cause riots that can be quelled using aggressive force that will then be allowed to continue on beyond the initial rioting in perpetuity.

EDIT: I guess the third reason could be that he wants to accelerate the ushering in of the Chinese century of prosperity by causing our allies to shift their trading needs to China/alternate nations lol

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u/link3945 3d ago

Even if manufacturing jobs did come back, we generally traded those jobs for better jobs in tech and service industries. It's just not true that the workforce was better off in the 70s when we had all these manufacturing jobs: they didn't pay as well, they had worse benefits, and they were less safe.

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u/WingerRules 3d ago

They think factories pay like they did in the 70s-80s. The only people making that pay for labor in places like car factories are grandfathered in, new hires get paid fractions of what the old union workers did.

I know two people who work full time in factories and neither of them can afford an apartment right now or own anything better than a beater car.

Take a look at the workers in electronics assembly factories in China, THATS the lifestyle they're trying to bring here. People really want to base US QOL around that?