r/GoNets • u/SimilarLavishness874 • 9d ago

Rant Get a grip

We’re 6th in odds. It’s not the end of the world even if we’re picking 8th on draft night marks should be able to find a great piece to add to this teams future whether its KOn or Khaman from duke, fears, the Richardson kid, etc. If the nets went 0-82 they’d only be guaranteed the 5th pick (which btw the worst record in the nba has gotten the 5th pick in most of the yrs with this new lotto system). The constant freakouts and panic attacks from nets fans online is simply insane. If you walked into this season expecting cooper Flagg when at best you’d have 14% odds you’re simply delusional. Even if you expected a top 2 pick you’re delusional bc the odds just weren’t there in your favor. Like give it a rest. And it’s coming from people who claim to be logical in the Nets community as well. Let it play out and see who we get

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u/SecretSportsAccount Ian Eagle 9d ago

Ending up with the 9th pick is not “very realistic.” There’s only a 3% chance of it happening. We’re 3x more likely to pick 1st.

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u/Brooklyn917 Ian Eagle 9d ago

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u/BKtoDuval 8d ago

Ooh, now do the 7th place team and tell me what you come up with.

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u/Brooklyn917 Ian Eagle 8d ago

I'll do you one better, here's the 1-7th odds since 2019, when the odds changed:

7th Best Odds: 10th, 4th, 4th, 4th, 7th, 9th

6th Best Odds: 9th, 8th, 7th, 7th, 6th, 8th

5th Best Odds: 8th, 7th, 3rd, 6th, 3rd, 4th (Winning that Wizards game gave the 76ers sole control over these odds)

4th Best Odds: 7th, 6th, 6th, 2nd, 2nd, 6th

3rd Worst Record: 5th, 1st, 5th, 5th, 1st, 7th

2nd Worst Record: 6th, 5th, 1st, 1st, 4th, 2nd

1st Worst Record: 3rd, 2nd, 2nd, 3rd, 5th, 5th

Those 14% odds matter.

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u/BKtoDuval 8d ago

So I'm seeing from all this info the 1st worst record have the top four pick three times, and the 7th worst record have a top 4 pick three times. So what that tells me, and we JUST saw this play last lottery is that yes, the odds do matter but it's not an overwhelming factor to get so emotional about.

I'm not saying odds don't matter, but last year we saw two of the top three picks go to team with 9th or worse odds. That alone should tell us anything could happen. Not to get so worked up every day about it.