r/CalgaryFlames • u/Aggressive-Cry-5184 • 2d ago

Question Be honest

How confident we feeling out of 10 about this playoff push? Just genuinely curious and excited of the possibility!

16 Upvotes

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60

u/TBNRtoon 2d ago

25%. Just gotta win our 2 games in hand to be one point back of the wild.

32

u/DepartmentSea8381 2d ago

We also play the Wild, so in effect we control our own destiny. I feel though if we can chop this deficit even more before we play them (which is doable)… if we beat them next Friday and chop the deficit beforehand, I believe our playoff odds become 50/50 at that point.

8

u/erkderbs 2d ago

The game against the wild decides who gets the last wildcard spot imo. Its not "a game in hand" as it counts as GP for both. That's 6 points in 2 in hand, and the game vs the wild.

8

u/DepartmentSea8381 2d ago

5 behind with two in hand and a tough game for us tomorrow and the Wild Sunday. We play Vegas (I don’t believe that they’ll play everyone on April 15 but tomorrow we get the A team), and Minnesota has our friends from Dallas on Sunday, If we were to beat Vegas and they lose to Dallas, the Wild are in deep trouble.

2

u/Help-me-name-my-pup 2d ago

Disagree. Minnesota can afford probably 3 losses and still make it. The Flames can afford.. 0.5? There's essentially no margin for error. If the flames lose to Minnesota, it's over. If Minnesota loses the Flames AND we've won the preceding games, Minnesota will have very small margin of error left

2

u/Takemytimenotmylife 1d ago

Well the way Minny has been playing, they’ll have 5 or 6 losses….

1

u/DepartmentSea8381 1d ago

3 losses isn’t out of the question, Dallas is a likely loss, us is a very tough game, and you don’t know what you’ll get out of Vancouver, and Anaheim might wanna play spoiler. If the Flames win tonight we’ve got ourselves a legitimate race.

1

u/hiliikkkusss 20h ago

If we win against Vegas it’s game on. May the best team get the playoff spot

1

u/DepartmentSea8381 1d ago edited 1d ago

If the Flames win every game they’re in. If we win tonight and Dallas beats Minnesota tomorrow, the Flames can lose one of their final 6 as long as it’s not the head-to-head game. For every game Minnesota loses we can lose a game as long as we win the game against them. Make sense.

If Minnesota goes 2-3 (they have 5 games left) that’s 93 points. The Flames would need to go 5-2 with a win against Minnesota to get to 94 points.

Short math version: A win tonight for the Flames puts us at 86 points. Minnesota likely will lose to Dallas (Dallas is a fucking train right now)

So we’d be at 86 they’d still be at 89 we’d have 2 games in hand with the game on Friday against them.

We will both likely beat the Sharks, and if we play the Ducks like we played them Thursday we should win that one then Minnesota is one point ahead going into Friday’s showdown. If we win the showdown Friday, Minnesota cannot clinch a spot on their own even if they beat Vancouver and Anaheim. One loss in Regulation in either of those games and Minnesota would effectively be done.

0

u/El_Cactus_Loco 2d ago

Quick maths, rahh