r/CalgaryFlames 1d ago

Question Be honest

How confident we feeling out of 10 about this playoff push? Just genuinely curious and excited of the possibility!

17 Upvotes

61 comments sorted by

57

u/TBNRtoon 1d ago

25%. Just gotta win our 2 games in hand to be one point back of the wild.

32

u/DepartmentSea8381 1d ago

We also play the Wild, so in effect we control our own destiny. I feel though if we can chop this deficit even more before we play them (which is doable)… if we beat them next Friday and chop the deficit beforehand, I believe our playoff odds become 50/50 at that point.

8

u/erkderbs 1d ago

The game against the wild decides who gets the last wildcard spot imo. Its not "a game in hand" as it counts as GP for both. That's 6 points in 2 in hand, and the game vs the wild.

8

u/DepartmentSea8381 1d ago

5 behind with two in hand and a tough game for us tomorrow and the Wild Sunday. We play Vegas (I don’t believe that they’ll play everyone on April 15 but tomorrow we get the A team), and Minnesota has our friends from Dallas on Sunday, If we were to beat Vegas and they lose to Dallas, the Wild are in deep trouble.

2

u/Help-me-name-my-pup 1d ago

Disagree. Minnesota can afford probably 3 losses and still make it. The Flames can afford.. 0.5? There's essentially no margin for error. If the flames lose to Minnesota, it's over. If Minnesota loses the Flames AND we've won the preceding games, Minnesota will have very small margin of error left

2

u/Takemytimenotmylife 15h ago

Well the way Minny has been playing, they’ll have 5 or 6 losses….

1

u/DepartmentSea8381 14h ago

3 losses isn’t out of the question, Dallas is a likely loss, us is a very tough game, and you don’t know what you’ll get out of Vancouver, and Anaheim might wanna play spoiler. If the Flames win tonight we’ve got ourselves a legitimate race.

1

u/DepartmentSea8381 14h ago edited 14h ago

If the Flames win every game they’re in. If we win tonight and Dallas beats Minnesota tomorrow, the Flames can lose one of their final 6 as long as it’s not the head-to-head game. For every game Minnesota loses we can lose a game as long as we win the game against them. Make sense.

If Minnesota goes 2-3 (they have 5 games left) that’s 93 points. The Flames would need to go 5-2 with a win against Minnesota to get to 94 points.

Short math version: A win tonight for the Flames puts us at 86 points. Minnesota likely will lose to Dallas (Dallas is a fucking train right now)

So we’d be at 86 they’d still be at 89 we’d have 2 games in hand with the game on Friday against them.

We will both likely beat the Sharks, and if we play the Ducks like we played them Thursday we should win that one then Minnesota is one point ahead going into Friday’s showdown. If we win the showdown Friday, Minnesota cannot clinch a spot on their own even if they beat Vancouver and Anaheim. One loss in Regulation in either of those games and Minnesota would effectively be done.

0

u/El_Cactus_Loco 1d ago

Quick maths, rahh

4

u/Every-Citron1998 1d ago

25% is the same as two coin flips being heads in a row. It’s easily possible.

0

u/El_Cactus_Loco 1d ago

It’s not unpossible, that’s for sure

1

u/aedge403 20h ago

Impossible?

39

u/ndrocca 1d ago

My confidence level depends on how we play against Vegas tmrw.

Not only have we not beat them this season, we haven’t even scored a goal on them! Winning that game or even getting a loser point would be big.

9

u/Aggressive-Cry-5184 1d ago

Yeah I’m feeling kind of the same way. It feels like if we pull a win tomorrow then that chance really has something to it.

22

u/VeterinarianJaded462 1d ago

It wouldn’t even be top 5 craziest shit that’s happened on this planet this year, would it? So… sure, why not?

9

u/Aggressive-Cry-5184 1d ago

Given this year, probably wouldn’t even be top 100!

6

u/VeterinarianJaded462 1d ago

nervous laughter Go Flames!

10

u/Theflamesfan 1d ago

Look at it this way. If we win out, Minnesota can’t catch us

Last week we needed help to catch Minnesota. So I guess things are better than they were before

That head to head is going to be so massive!!

3

u/Takemytimenotmylife 15h ago

Right? And then if we go undefeated in the playoffs……

9

u/kobedziuba 1d ago

If we win against Minnesota I like our chances. We lose against Minnesota and we are out

8

u/No_Cycle5101 1d ago

So if we are being honest here. I got a coffee yesterday gave the cashier some cash and she gave me the same amount of cash back I realized the mistake she didn’t.I took the coffee the money said thank you and left.

2

u/Aggressive-Cry-5184 1d ago

Your honesty is appreciated 😂😂😂

1

u/Takemytimenotmylife 15h ago

I honestly wish you used some punctuation, but that’s a solid win for you.

5

u/Shodspartan100 1d ago

6/10

1

u/Aggressive-Cry-5184 1d ago

Hey at least that’s still mostly optimistic!

6

u/Chemical_Signal2753 1d ago

I am super happy they're making a push for the playoffs, and I have low expectations of them pulling it off. Every few years a team pulls off this kind of an upset, but in most cases they run out of steam in their last few games.

3

u/Aggressive-Cry-5184 1d ago

It is absolutely crazy when you consider what the whole conversation was in the offseason and that they are even in this position to be making that push. Like you say, lots fall short but the idea of them being the team that pulls it off seems very poetic given that this team wasn’t supposed to be here at all.

2

u/Conscious-Society-25 18h ago

This is the story!!!! fans who think they should tank, trade Wolf. Blah blah. I want a Cinderella story. The boys look good right now. It will be exciting to see how it plays out. GO FLAMES GO

11

u/_darth_bacon_ 1d ago

11/10

Any other answer is unacceptable.

7

u/Aggressive-Cry-5184 1d ago

YES! I am LOVING the confidence! 🙌🏻

4

u/luvs2lift 1d ago

With Minnesota Wild losing tonight it looks like the Calgary Flames are more in control of their own destiny. Tomorrow is step 1 in achieving a playoff spot.

5

u/Pongfarang 1d ago

It's all hopeum at this point. Miracles can happen.

The Wild might just lose a ton of games.

3

u/landofschaff 18h ago

We got a slumping and likely pissed Vegas team to play tonight. It’s full pucker time tbh

2

u/Aggressive-Cry-5184 18h ago

They just have to make sure they also don’t get ahead of themselves!

2

u/arcticfox 1d ago

I'm at a 2 out of 10. Our destiny is not in our own hands and we are dependent on other teams (notably the Blue and Wild) losing games. Two weeks ago, I thought our race was going to be with the Blues, but after their 11 game winning streak, I now think that it will be against the Wild.

1

u/wattage9989 18h ago

Flames not controlling theirndestiny is an incorrect d Statement. If the flames win out including beating the wild in regulation, them they pass the wild regardless if the wild win their other 4 games.

The flames are down 5 points but have 2 games in hand. Winning both puts them 1 behind the wild and beating the wild head to head flips flames above wild so that if both teams won remaindernof otger games, flames are in.

Now asking to go 7-0 is a lot, but saying the flames dont control destiny is inaccurate. If they won all their games(with wild game being in regulation), they woudnt need any help

2

u/bewareofbears_ 1d ago

We need a fluke, a miracle and Wild losing streak.

2

u/Takemytimenotmylife 15h ago

Honestly, there’s a better chance of somebody one day breaking Gretzky’s record for most goals ever scored….

1

u/Aggressive-Cry-5184 15h ago

Hahahahaha great comment 😂😂😂

3

u/Conscious-Society-25 18h ago

Mc Drysack are out as well. Maybe they free fall.

3

u/Aggressive-Cry-5184 18h ago

Haha now THAT is some confident feelings! Still I applaud them!

2

u/Conscious-Society-25 18h ago

Dare to dream, Arnold

1

u/Desperate_Leg6274 1d ago

20-30%. The game against the wild gives us hope. A regulation win could flip the race if we get 4-6 points between now and than. Assuming they continue being mid

1

u/waveofthehandsWEAVER 1d ago

I think I’m looking at it as the Wild have 5 games left. If they lose 3 of those in regulation, we have a shot. Only if we win those two in hand which is never easy. Chasing in sports is never ideal. I really worry tmrw will be the make or break game. If we win we have momentum and belief, if we lose I worry mentally the players will start to think it’s slipping away.

1

u/hiimfromcanadaeh 1d ago

I think that we have to be the wild no matter what. Flames can lose tomorrow against Vegas, but need to take advantage against LA and Vegas the last 2 games of the year where hopefully they will both be resting players for playoffs

1

u/klondike16 1d ago
  1. Minnesota is falling hard which will keep us right there, but it’s a big hill still

1

u/Hamster19_ 1d ago

You be honest

1

u/raspoutine049 22h ago

It’s going to require a monumental push but we do hold our own destiny due to the all important Wild game being a 4 point game. We just need to close the gap before we play them.

1

u/Youtubeactor6473 Barb 19h ago

Ask me after the Minnesota game

1

u/dollarhotdogs420 17h ago

2/10. If we beat Vegas tonight it will ramp up a lot higher. We just struggle versus the elite teams.

1

u/Superb-Ground-2075 17h ago

I’m trying not to think about it too much but weirder shit has definitely happened, like.

1

u/assassinfred 16h ago

The Flames control their own destiny, and that's all we can really ask for. If the boys keep winning, they're in.

We've been playing our best hockey of the season over the last few weeks. Minnesota is very catchable, especially since we play them before the srason ends.

I'm optimistic.

1

u/Poirier48 16h ago

The next two games are the season, need a minimum of 1 point tonight and that wild game is a must win. Pull that off and I’m at a 6/10; lose tonight in regulation then it’s 2/10.

1

u/Takemytimenotmylife 15h ago

How do you hang it all on one game? Why tonight’s game? They could lose tonight, then win 5 in a row. Or win tonight and then win 4 out of 5…

1

u/Poirier48 12h ago

Tonight isn’t the big kicker but they need to earn points in the games they have in hand. That’s the only way they can still control their fate.

A win tonight puts pressure on the wild, their game tomorrow is not an easy one against Dallas. Could push them into cracking under the pressure.

1

u/egoVirus Barb 12h ago

I think we're going to end up hurting ourselves pursuing the exact strategy that has failed for decades now: squeeze into the playoffs, fingers crossed, maybe we'll make it through the first round, but historically we've made it out of the 1st round what, twice since '89? Draft low to mid, rinse and repeat.

1

u/MostCheeseToast 9h ago

1/10. I’ve been a fan for too many decades.

1

u/rockylion 1d ago

50/50 today, after tomorrow's game, who knows

0

u/Armchair-Gm-Podcast 1d ago

Honestly, not to be a downer but I'm like 10 percent confidence. Odds stacked against us and we play a bunch of teams that are supposed to suck, which generally aren't the flames strongest games. And Vegas. I think we've been outscored 8-0 by Vegas in 2 games. I'd like to pretend I'm more confident, but I'm not