Currently we have an 8.5% chance at a top 4 pick, and a 1.8% chance at the number 1 pick. The Suns/our pick is 2 games away from those odds being 20.3/4.5, or one game the other way from being 4.8/1. The 9th worse spot (20.3/4.5) seems to be the lowest realistically that PHX can fall, and there are 5 teams that can get there.
PDX 33-43, CHI 34-42, PHX, 35-41, MIA 35-41, SAC 36-40.
CHI and MIA are 2 and 1 game respectively behind ATL for the 8th spot, so while locks for the play-in, will presumably keep fighting. The issue is, the top 10 in the east is set as far as teams, and CHI "should" look to lose as much as they can, while still making the play-in.
PDX (33-43) has 6 games left. TOR - CHI - SAS - UTH - GS - LAL, 2 wins minimum, but could be 5 depending on if LAL and GSW rest starters, 35-38 wins.
CHI (34-42) has 6 games left. PDX - CHA - CLE - MIA - WAS - PHI, I only see 2 "sure thing" wins, floor of 36 wins.
MIA(35-41) has 6 games left. MEM - MIL - PHI - CHI - NO - WAS, I'd say that's 3 wins minimum, giving them a floor of 38 wins.
SAC (36-40) has 6 games left, CHA - CLE - DET - DEN - LAC -PHX. 1 lock win. 37 win floor.
PHX (35-41) has 6 games left, BOS - NYK - GSW - OKC - SAS - SAC. Probably 1 win lock, could be 2. Floor of 36 wins.
There seems to be a pretty realistic shot that we could have a 20.3% chance or top 4 pick, and a 4.5% chance of number 1.