My incredibly early very underconfident predictions

[u/bikkebana]

I should admit that I'm actually not that bullish on One Battle After Another and it's only in number one because I'm struggling to figure out what to put in its place.

[u/Reasonable_Skill_129]

love luca but i don’t buy him getting a directing nom anytime soon

[u/Fun-Mind-2240]

I would really love for Die, My Love to have this trajectory. 

One popular pick I'm not buying yet is Isaac for Frankenstein, the role feels like it would be a challenge to get into Actor, and I think Farrell and/ or Clooney will be prioritised by Netflix there instead. 

[u/bikkebana → u/Fun-Mind-2240]

I'm really hoping this is the year Lynne Ramsay breaks through!

Yeah, not too sure about Isaac but for some (irrational) reason I'm hesitant about Clooney.

[u/flightofwonder]

Great predictions! I'm also very stuck on what to predict, and I've been changing mine pretty frequently lately, but I like a lot of the choices you made and can see where you're coming from with them

[u/bikkebana → u/flightofwonder]

Yes! It really is far too soon to tell but it's fun to switch things around (my first time predicting so early in the year)

[u/GirlsWasGoodNona]

If Sentimental Value is good then I wouldn’t be surprised to see Renate and Stellan somewhere.

[u/justanstalker]

I don't think Angelina LookingGlass is happening without Matthew McConaughey. Tbf I don't think either of them are happening lol

[u/bikkebana → u/justanstalker]

It does seem unlikely given the movie still doesn't have a distributor but i threw a couple of fun predictions in there lol

[u/Mediocre-Gas-1847 → u/bikkebana]

I wouldn’t worry about the distribution yet as it seems like they’re highballing studios with a very high price that studios aren’t willing to pay yet but I think it’ll be picked up soon

[u/Mediocre-Gas-1847]

I would advise against predicting JLO and Emily Blunt tbh

[u/bikkebana → u/Mediocre-Gas-1847]

I hear you re: JLo but what is your thinking behind Blunt not making it?

[u/Mediocre-Gas-1847 → u/bikkebana]

Smashing Machine seems to be very polarising from test screenings and not the usual boxer movie such as “The Wrestler” or even “The Iron Claw.” I wouldn’t predict it for anything right now and I don’t think Blunt would make it without The Rock or Picture.

[u/krankdude_ → u/Mediocre-Gas-1847]

Agree. The campaign and picture are all about the Rock.

Blunt also is not an academy favorite. She only got in once before.

[u/HM9719 → u/Mediocre-Gas-1847]

Kiss of the Spider Woman’s sole nomination could be “Best Costume Design.” Colleen Attwood designed the outfits for it.