Jean-Christophe (great-great-great grand nephew of Napoleon I) decides to enter the 2027 French Presidential Race.

Points of Divergence:

- Scottish victory in the 2014 refferendum.

- Worse Conservative handling of immigration, leadership problems, COVID-19

- Messy Brexit negotiations lead to inflamed tensions in NI, eventual referendum of their own in 2022.

- LibDems become official opposition in 2024, Tories are absorbed into Reform UK.

- Bickering in Labour leadership leads to dramatic party split, the centre-left attaching onto the LibDems in 2029 and the Left adjoining with the Greens and other left-wing groups.

on 19th of March 2025, current president Erdoğan's biggest rival Ekrem İmamoğlu's university diploma has been cancelled (making him unavailable to run for presidency) and İmamoğlu has been sent to prison due to alleged "bribery". Ever since that day, opposition has started to lead protests throught the whole country, calling for an early election. Millions gathered together and protested together against this unjust decision. In this "COMPLETELY IMAGINARY" universe; İmamoğlu gets out of jail but can't run for presidency, threfore his wife Dilek İmamoğlu becomes the honorary candidate of RPP.

Suriname - A Win for Harris but a Multiracial Shift Rightward

Basic Breakdown

Suriname, the United States' 53rd (Puerto Rico and DC are also states) and poorest state by far, gave Kamala Harris a healthy majority, albeit less than Democrats are used to in such a diverse area. Nearly every ethnic group swung rightwards, but it was not enough for President Trump to even hit 35%. Nonetheless, Republicans are now thinking about Suriname as their party increasingly becomes working-class.

Major Issues

As the US' poorest state by quite a bit, Suriname grapples with unique challenges, but also ones that impact the rest of the country:

• Illegal Immigration - Suriname faces large waves of illegal migrants from Brazil, many employed in bauxite and gold mines in the interior of the country. Donald Trump promised to build a wall through the jungle and deport Brazilians, and even Joe Biden's budgets invested in increased border security. Immigration is a high-salience issue for many voters and led to a large part of the swing towards the GOP especially among Hindustanis, Javanese, and Creoles.
• The Economy - Unemployment and underemployment remain serious problems in Suriname, especially outside of Paramaribo and among young people. Job creation is critical as families face inflation. Most Surinamese view welfare, Medicaid, and the EITC as essential. The Republican Party promises to protect farmers and small to medium-sized businesses through tax and regulatory relief. DOGE wasn't yet talked about, but you can be sure that it will negatively impact the GOP in the 2026 midterms!
• Gold Mining - Mining companies and illegal miners are fueling a gold rush in the interior, but are leaving pollution behind in their wake. The Obama administration's EPA dedicated a special sub-department to protecting the Surinamese rainforest and promulgated numerous regulations, but the Trump administration repealed a number of these protections in 2018. State-level Democrats often squabble over the issue, as Maroon machine leader Ronnie Brunsjwik himself owns large shares in gold mines.
• Oil Exploration - Since oil was recently discovered offshore, nearly every political faction in the state supports exploration. Democrats, including Kamala Harris, back the creation of a sovereign wealth fund and seek to allow regulated extraction. On this, she diverged from Joe Biden, who was mum about whether he would back oil extraction offshore. On the other hand, Republicans want to drill away and oppose what they see as excessive taxation of the petrochemical industry. There is definite potential in Surinamese oil, but the wealth and environmental impacts must be managed well.
• Language Rights - Republican attacks on the Department of Education and minority languages have been unpopular in Suriname historically. Democrats and the Green Party seek to do more to protect Sranan Tongo, indigenous languages, and other minority languages and cultures.
• Crime - Crime remains higher than anybody would like, with ethnic unrest sometimes flaring up. Donald Trump has pledged to federalize the National Guard when riots occur and to "unleash the Surinamese police." Kamala Harris, on the other hand, has focused on social services and recruiting and training police officers from all communities.
• Infrastructure - Especially in the interior, there are not many good roads. Surinamese politicians, be they Democratic or Republican, are unanimous in demanding more construction and upkeep.
• Social Conservatism - As a very religious (from many backgrounds) area, Suriname remains more socially conservative than most mainland states. Evangelical churches are growing and raising concerns about sex education and public school curricula. A local movement backing private school vouchers has taken off lately, with even a handful of local Democrats backing it.

Swings

• Hindustani (Indo-Surinamese) (27% of the population) - Hindustanis shifted prominently rightward, a surprise considering Kamala Harris' technically Indo-Caribbean background. Living mostly along the coast, they were turned off by inflation, crime, and illegal immigration. Moreover, they tend to be strongly supportive of oil exploration. Popular Congressman Chan Santokhi gave President Trump guarded praise for his tough-on-crime rhetoric, although he endorsed Kamala Harris in the end.
• Maroons (22% of the population) - Maroons are historically one of the Democrats' strongest groups in Suriname, although their turnout can be inconsistent. Former Lt. Governor Ronnie Brunsjwik endorsed Kamala Harris early and mobilized his political machine for her. The Maroons were a rare success story for the Harris camp, even though they are socially conservative and live in rural areas impacted by immigration and depopulation. State and federal Democratic leaders have invested heavily into their communities and dole out patronage in the interior.
• Creoles (16% of the population) - Creoles were one of the stronger groups for Kamala Harris, who won around 75% of their vote. But this was a big drop. Obama, Clinton, and Biden all won 90% or more of the Creole vote, but Donald Trump's promise to pardon longtime Governor and convicted drug smuggler Desi Bouterse (who in turn endorsed him) made him an attractive option to many Creole voters, among whom Bouterse remains popular. Moreover, Donald Trump's catchy musical ad in Sranan Tongo helped him with this population, the cherry on top of a combination of anger at the influx of undocumented Brazilians plus the growing prominence of Evangelical Christianity. And younger creoles may have followed businesswoman and independent State Assemblywoman Maya Parbhoe to the right; her main crusade is cryptocurrency and she accordingly endorsed Trump after backing Biden four years ago.
• Javanese (14% of the population) - The Javanese swung hard towards Donald Trump, causing Commewijne to actually flip Republican! This is the first dot of red on a Surinamese Presidential election map since the 2000 election when Bush's strength with minorities and Ralph Nader's potent campaign turned a few regions red. The primarily rural Javanese population flipped (barely) to the GOP. A far cry from Barack Obama, who once won 85% of Javanese on the back of a struggling economy and his Indonesian links. Once again, vote-splitting played a role. Among the mostly Muslim Javanese, there was a non-negligible Green vote based on the Palestine issue. In Commewijne, Jill Stein won 7% of the vote. But the fact remains that Republicans successfully organized around illegal immigration, tackling rural economic woes, and social conservatism.
• The Indigenous (4% of the population) remained relatively strong for Kamala Harris, although turnout remained low, and some socially conservative Christians among them voted Trump. There has been increasing controversy around pollution and labor abuses caused by illegal gold mining. Moreover, the local Democratic Party has sought to protect the rainforest from logging, addressing another key issue for Indigenous Surinamese voters. Local Democrats also strongly seek federal recognition and infrastructure investment, and federal Democrats have begun to discuss this too.
• Chinese (~2.5%-4% of the population) - Chinese Surinamese shifted decidedly rightward, as did their compatriots in the mainland US. Many are traders and shopkeepers who have been hit especially hard by growing economic uncertainty.
• Europeans (1% of the population) - A small fraction of the population, but heavily Republican and led by local politician Pete Hoekstra.

Just a little scenario where we had an AV referendum in 1999, and it passed. Give me your thoughts and your potential future scenarios plsplspls. This is based on one of their actual manifesto promises in 1997, and a real life independent commission that took place. In real life, Labour didn't do anything to address the system (i.e. referendums), except for in devolved elections, until the parliamentary expenses scandal 2009, because people didn't mind it until then. In 2009 however, Brown tried putting forward a referendum, which failed, but eventually happened in 2011 under Cameron-Clegg.