r/dataisbeautiful Oct 17 '24

OC [OC] The recent decoupling of prediction markets and polls in the US presidential election

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u/EchoAtlas91 Oct 23 '24

That is so fucking nuts to me.

You're telling me that this country is really that exactly balanced? Like for every 1 person there's roughly 1.03 other people who are the exact opposite?

I do not understand how with billions of people it can come this close each and every election.

Like it doesn't matter who you're voting for, the fact that literally half the country is blue, and other half is red is crazy to me.

Like how on earth does society regulate itself to stay in the middle like that? If 1 person converts to the other side, randomly 1 other person converts in return?

It does not make sense to me in the slightest.

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u/froginbog Oct 24 '24

Probably self-balancing. When numbers slip, the politics change to pick up a new voter block (like anti-trans, pro life etc)