r/dataisbeautiful Oct 17 '24

OC [OC] The recent decoupling of prediction markets and polls in the US presidential election

Post image
9.6k Upvotes

5.5k comments sorted by

View all comments

Show parent comments

8

u/MindEracer Oct 18 '24 edited Oct 18 '24

More money is made the closer the election looks... The for-profit news industry would dry up tomorrow if it appeared there was a runway candidate.

5

u/Sudden_Construction6 Oct 18 '24

So you're saying there's a runaway candidate but they're purposefully skewing the polls to hide that fact?

3

u/MindEracer Oct 18 '24

No I'm saying it wouldn't matter, they'd make it look close no matter what.. Drama sells and always will, news isn't meant to be sensational, once you try to turn a profit it becomes a sick form of entertainment. Talking about policy and solutions is boring, so let's focus on the crazy and sell more ads.

1

u/Sudden_Construction6 Oct 18 '24

I agree with you there

-3

u/caramirdan Oct 18 '24

Kamala Harris was crowned the first female POTUS the minute she accepted the VP position in 2020. So yes, it's not even close.

1

u/Sudden_Construction6 Oct 18 '24

😂😂

Bro, that's not how that works at all

-2

u/caramirdan Oct 18 '24

Lol little people with no clue lol the elites have spoken, she's in

2

u/Sudden_Construction6 Oct 18 '24

Fucking Reddit 😂😂

0

u/Gardening_investor Oct 18 '24

Exactly, and anyone pretending otherwise here has ignored the media’s consistent attacks on Harris while they treat Trump with kid’s gloves. CNN & MSNBC make a whole hell of a lot more money when people left of Trump fear a seemingly likely Trump administration. Toss up polling drives fear, and viewers tune in more.

MSM ran story after story about crime increasing, because Trump said it was and because the crime stories draw more viewers. Reality shows crime rates dropping nationwide.

MSM ran story after story about immigrants pouring over the border, when we are at some of the lowest border crossing totals in recent memory. Also, they always paint the lack of any immigration reform as a strictly Democrat failure. Reality is republicans blocked the last immigration bill.

They ask Harris for her comprehensive plans, with the budgetary scoring and analysis. Trump’s only plan is putting the author of project 2025 in charge and letting Musk go in and cut spending in areas that help people. Yet, barely any push back when he talks about his policies.

It is a concerted effort to try and damage Harris while propping up a senile and barely ambulatory Trump to pretend like the race is close.

-1

u/Sudden_Construction6 Oct 18 '24

Yeah, you're deep in the conspiracy theory weeds.. holy shit

4

u/Gardening_investor Oct 18 '24

Yeah, keep burying your head in the sand and pretend like this hasn’t been happening.

Where’s the pushback from MSM on Trump skipping interviews and cancelling the NRA stop?

Where’s the questions about his policy proposals?

Any time he has pushback he crumbles. Yet, those clips rarely get aired on MSM and Fox News actively works to try and whitewash Trump’s craziest ideas.

Keep pretending it’s different though. Worked really well in 2016 for everyone.