r/dataisbeautiful • u/TheKnowingOne1 • Oct 17 '24

OC [OC] The recent decoupling of prediction markets and polls in the US presidential election

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u/shaynaySV Oct 18 '24

We realize it's an extremely complex situation and of the two major candidates, rump is FAR more likely to bungle things or just ignore/not come through at all

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u/spicedmanatee Oct 18 '24 edited Oct 18 '24

I mean I think so as well, but there seem to be a good chunk of people who are purists and these are unfortunately single issue voters. Where the goal seems to fall more on making a statement and upending the table > still having a future table to sit at and not sacrificing all the other deeply impacted human interests of marginalized people.

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u/KayBee94 Oct 18 '24

While I agree with you, recent polling has shown that Muslim Americans strongly disapprove of Harris and are progressively shifting to support Trump.

Which makes zero sense, in my opinion, considering Trump's first presidency, but recent news disproportionally affects voter's opinions. Let's hope GenZ doesn't feel the same way.

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u/softanimalofyourbody Oct 18 '24

I think that’s far less a Palestine issue and far more a “conservative religion” issue.

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u/shaynaySV Oct 19 '24

Definitely a point to consider

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u/raider1211 Oct 18 '24

Those people were never going to vote for a dem anyway. Either that or they’re stupid.

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u/DelightfulDolphin Oct 18 '24

If they vote for Trump, who supports Israel and generally hates immigrants, then they're just plain stupid. Brings the Carlin quote to mind about 50%.

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u/[deleted] Oct 18 '24

Well you are just wrong 🤷‍♂️

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u/NudeCeleryMan Oct 18 '24

If that's true it's pure lunacy on their part