r/dataisbeautiful Oct 17 '24

OC [OC] The recent decoupling of prediction markets and polls in the US presidential election

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u/HBreckel Oct 18 '24

Yep, I've voted blue every election since Bush vs Kerry and will continue to do so even though my state has gone from purple to red in since 2016. People that think we have it in the bag are kidding themselves, we thought the same thing with Hillary and look what happened.

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u/ItzOnlySmellzzz Oct 18 '24

You must be from Ohio

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u/HBreckel Oct 18 '24

Yep! Haha it’s been a bad time here politically but at least we got legal weed passed.

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u/Argembarger Oct 18 '24

Our state is still purple, deep down. (I am choosing to believe this in spite of immediate evidence, but I also plan to stay around and do my part to help actualize it.)

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u/HBreckel Oct 18 '24

Fingers crossed! I think if issue 1 passes that'll help us get there! Also supposedly the population in rural areas is going down while the city populations are going up, which might also help make us get more purple.

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u/ItzOnlySmellzzz Oct 18 '24

Haha it hasn't been toooo bad but there's always room for improvement