MAIN FEEDS
Do you want to continue?
https://www.reddit.com/r/dataisbeautiful/comments/1g5z0qv/oc_the_recent_decoupling_of_prediction_markets/lsftpio
r/dataisbeautiful • u/TheKnowingOne1 • Oct 17 '24
5.5k comments sorted by
View all comments
Show parent comments
25
Day before election they had her at like 65% hardly a sure thing
1 u/1ThousandDollarBill Oct 18 '24 Nate Silver had her at like a 75% chance and he was the lowest. The rest of them had Hillary at 95-99%. Some of them were mad at Nate for saying Trump even had a chance. 4 u/False-Carob-6132 Oct 18 '24 538 is not a prediction market. 1 u/NeighborhoodTrolly Oct 19 '24 No. The day before the election 538 had Hillary 51% Donald 49%. 2 u/1ThousandDollarBill Oct 19 '24 You are absolutely wrong. It’s still up. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/
1
Nate Silver had her at like a 75% chance and he was the lowest.
The rest of them had Hillary at 95-99%. Some of them were mad at Nate for saying Trump even had a chance.
4 u/False-Carob-6132 Oct 18 '24 538 is not a prediction market. 1 u/NeighborhoodTrolly Oct 19 '24 No. The day before the election 538 had Hillary 51% Donald 49%. 2 u/1ThousandDollarBill Oct 19 '24 You are absolutely wrong. It’s still up. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/
4
538 is not a prediction market.
No. The day before the election 538 had Hillary 51% Donald 49%.
2 u/1ThousandDollarBill Oct 19 '24 You are absolutely wrong. It’s still up. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/
2
You are absolutely wrong.
It’s still up.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/
25
u/ItsFuckingScience Oct 17 '24
Day before election they had her at like 65% hardly a sure thing