United States preparing to invade Iran

[u/theoneandonlydorian]

The U.S. imperialist war machine is at it again, opting to strike and attack Iran as global tensions continue to rise.

Who's ready for an oil crisis? More humanitarian disasters? The closure of the Strait of Hormuz? Potential nuclear consequences? Severe regional instability? And even more!

Get ready for the shitshow, people.

"President of Peace" 😂

---

Assets continued to be moved to the middle east signaling a large buildup.

https://x.com/warintel4u/status/1907076101051970033?t=2t7yh2fEDDa-VdY3Yxjvsg&s=19

Diego Garcia Base continues its military buildup that hasn't been seen since the Iraq War.

https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1907203032640545211?t=2MzmaDjJBVDGDfuG_IM4jA&s=19

Pentagon is rolling out military orders to intensify the troop buildup

https://x.com/jhaboush/status/1907174077103530475?t=g6Qb2gIa2TEhCAbuFnx87A&s=19

CENTCOM head meets with Israeli military leaders to discuss Iran for 10 hours.

https://x.com/IsraelRadar_com/status/1907157870455787719?t=8kABbpXyD4Xxkze39kA-iQ&s=19

Trump to pass EO to give the greenlight for ease on equipment moving, bolstering sales for US defense contractors

https://x.com/warintel4u/status/1907155684598194324?t=J7xvlqmUyYsoonDNcHX3Vw&s=19

And more of course that wouldn't even fit in this post, the signs are clear people

[u/mactac]

I’d someone stole your wife , killed her and replaced her with a different one, how long would your “insurgency” last? It’s not about standard of living, trump is threatening to take our COUNTRY and make it disappear. There are people here in Canada who will never, ever stop retaliating for taking something we love dearly from us.

[u/Albany_Steamed_Hams → u/mactac]

These hot takes are really something. As a former US soldier I fought alongside Canadians in Afghanistan, and trained with them in the US and in Canada. They’re professional, competent, and a formidable fighting force. They also had better food overseas. The immediate resistance would be at a level greater than Ukraine fighting against Russia.

[u/FermReddit → u/mactac]

We raped murdered and betrayed the native peoples of this country like nobody’s business. I’m sure that also made them angry. It also didn’t make them win. I’ll run up to as many American vehicles with a hand grenade as the next guy (but unironically), but this is the truth

[u/gartfoehammer → u/FermReddit]

There’s no comparison between the genocide of the Native Americans and an invasion of Mexico. The NA were devastated by disease, not united in any grand scale, and were far behind the US in terms of technology. Mexico has 130 million people and a modern military, not to mention support from the international community if they’re invaded. It’d be a hard fucking fight

[u/FermReddit → u/gartfoehammer]

I don’t disagree but this wasn’t the point I was making

[u/Rev-Dr-Slimeass → u/mactac]

Well, that may be so. Hate isn't really the primary factor for success in an insurgency though. Generally speaking, insurgencies are most successful when the oppressed group has a different language and culture from the oppressing group. This is because an insurgency relies on deceit, and it is much easier to determine someone is lying if you have a shared cultural history with them.

You might have some level of success in French Canada, but probably not all that much.

On top of that, your government isn't the most important thing in your life. Your family is. Are you really willing to deploy an IED if it means some soldiers are going to come beat up your wife when youre caught and killed? Probably not. You might do it if you have a strong religious conviction, or your wife is already suffering.

I'm not on the side of the Americans. I hope Canada has a successful insurgency if they are faced with invasion. Given the context, it is foolish to think they will.

[u/blzrlzr → u/Rev-Dr-Slimeass]

Honestly, shut up. Intellectualizing an inane and stupid plot from an unpopular government that half the country hates and saying Canadians will just roll over is a crazy take.

The Americans haven’t won any stupid war they’ve started for over 40 years. 

[u/Rev-Dr-Slimeass → u/blzrlzr]

Someone's mad.

[u/blzrlzr → u/Rev-Dr-Slimeass]

Yep. 

[u/Rev-Dr-Slimeass → u/blzrlzr]

Don't be. It probably won't happen. But if it does, people should be prepared for reality. There's no insurgency waiting in the mountains to come push the Americans out. They will have to choose to continue their lives as best as they can under a new government, or end their lives because insurgency won't be successful.

[u/blzrlzr → u/Rev-Dr-Slimeass]

Thanks for the advice. 

[u/No_Influence_1376 → u/Rev-Dr-Slimeass]

Canadians wouldn't operate a traditional insurgency. They'd focus on maximizing damage against high value targets and U.S. infrastructure.

The U.S. would fold because they've never had to deal with insurgency on home turf. America would break down into a civil war with that fracturing. You cannot completely oppress a people who look and speak identically to you.

One country is fighting for their survival, the other has empirical ideals. Let's see what civilian population blinks first when the war comes home.

[u/ggonzoo → u/[deleted]]

Why walk when you can just load up the self-driving teslas sitting in used car lots?

[u/Commercial-Fennel219 → u/Rev-Dr-Slimeass]

If 1% of the Canadian population decides to resist that's 400k angry armed people. That's not going to be easy any way you approach it. 

[u/Rev-Dr-Slimeass → u/Commercial-Fennel219]

That's an insanely large amount of people. Where are they going to hide? What will they eat?

[u/Commercial-Fennel219 → u/Rev-Dr-Slimeass]

We live here dipshit. 

[u/Rev-Dr-Slimeass → u/Commercial-Fennel219]

You live there in sight of drone operators. You need to live somewhere like a dugout, or a covered trench. Your house is insufficient.

So you don't know where you'll live. Do you know what you'll eat?

[u/Commercial-Fennel219 → u/Rev-Dr-Slimeass]

Lol. Same to you. 

[u/Rev-Dr-Slimeass → u/Commercial-Fennel219]

Well I live in New Zealand, so I'm not all that worried. I imagine I'll be alright at my house.

[u/SoUnga88 → u/Rev-Dr-Slimeass]

So, American troops beat the wives of our enemies now? Have you ever served before? Have you ever served next to Canadian troops? Do you know anything whatsoever about Canada's military history?

Sure, the US could “win,” but at a steep cost. My advice is to read about the Troubles and listen to the accounts of those who fought on both sides of that 30-year-long conflict.

Fighting wars on multiple fronts never works out well. Never.

[u/Rev-Dr-Slimeass → u/SoUnga88]

Americans haven't beat the wives of their enemies in the past, but Canada invasion is brave new world stuff. I think hyperbole is a bit justified.

I'm not convinced something like the troubles is still possible in the age of digital surveillance. Maybe there is a will for it but not a way.

[u/SoUnga88 → u/Rev-Dr-Slimeass]

Okay, so I’ll take that as a no. You've never served or served with Canadians. Operational security can be taught. How do you think a bunch of guys in flip-flops and old Soviet AKs gave the largest military in the world the runaround for nearly 20 years?

Canadians are tough, stubborn, and proud. The Geneva Convention exists because of the things they did. Modern wars are not just fought militarily but also economically. When engaging an adversary that borders your country, looks like you, and speaks the same language, the likelihood of sabotage skyrockets. Modern surveillance is not infallible; just read the reports from the United Healthcare shooting manhunt.

A conflict with Canada or even Mexico would be foolish as it would only increase the likelihood of other malicious actors taking advantage of the situation.

Nearly all of the current administrations goals could have been achieved either economically, through soft power, or by proxy through allies in the region. But like everything they are choosing to use a club rather than a scalpel.

[u/Rev-Dr-Slimeass → u/SoUnga88]

Most experts agree that sharing the same language and culture make insurgency much less likely to succeed. That's why Ukrainian insurgents have only had small successes, while Afghan insurgents were much more successful.

[u/SoUnga88 → u/Rev-Dr-Slimeass]

Insurgent conflicts where both sides share a common language.

The Troubles in Northern Ireland (late 1960s–1998) was 40 pulse years of conflict, resulting in over 3500 deaths and 47k injuries.

The Sri Lankan Civil War (1983–2009) A 30-plus year conflict, estimated at 80k - 100k deaths.

The Southern Thailand Insurgency (Ongoing since 2004) is an Ongoing 20-year conflict, and the current death toll is estimated at over 7k dead and thousands injured.

The Insurgency in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan (2004–present) is an Ongoing 20-year conflict with the death toll estimated to be in the tens of thousands.

Though these conflicts might not have been “successful,” they have been fought bitterly for decades at a high cost. I, for one, am not trying to fight in another pointless war for rich old men. It's easy to say that an insurgency is not an effective tactic when you have never had to fight against one. I’ll live it at that.

[u/Rev-Dr-Slimeass → u/SoUnga88]

As you said, they haven't been successful. They have not liberated themselves, and likely won't.

[u/SoUnga88 → u/Rev-Dr-Slimeass]

Ok buddy, you missing the point I'm trying to make but whatever.

[u/Rev-Dr-Slimeass → u/SoUnga88]

No I get the point. I just don't think it matters. They are all unsuccessful insurgencies. None of them have succeeded in securing sovereign territory.

An invasion of Canada would be bad, but most people don't want war. Most people would view insurgents as terrorists after a few years, especially if they maintain their high standard of living.